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European mobile in Q2 2014: Underlying weakens again - Venture Insights

Report Overview

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European mobile in Q2 2014: Underlying weakens again

PublisherEnders Analysis.
Publish Date September 25, 2014
Sector Fixed Line (Internet and Voice), Mobile and Wireless Technology.
Company EE, France Telecoms, Hutchison 3G, O2, Orange, SFR, T-Mobile Telecoms, Telefonica, vodafone.

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European mobile service revenue growth improved by 0.5ppts to -7.2% in Q2 2014, but all of this and more was driven by a reduced regulatory impact; underlying growth has been stuck at around 6% for the last four quarters, with progress in some areas consistently being countered by further pricing pressure.

Industry consolidation has progressed to some extent, but would have had little impact in the quarter. Further in-country mobile/mobile mergers are more than likely but uncertainty driven by the changing European Commission may be delaying decisions to move forward.

The UK example shows that consolidation is not necessary for market repair, but in the present environment the smaller operators in continental Europe have every incentive to be as disruptive as possible to encourage their acquisition, so further mergers cannot come soon enough.