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Onwards and upwards: TalkTalk Group Q4 2015/16 results - Venture Insights

Report Overview

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Onwards and upwards: TalkTalk Group Q4 2015/16 results

PublisherEnders Analysis.
Publish Date May 24, 2016
Sector Fixed Line (Internet and Voice), Mobile and Wireless Technology, Telecom.
Company TalkTalk.

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TalkTalk Q4 2015/16 results firmly indicated that operations had moved on from the cyber-attack; record low churn and strong mobile (+90k) and fibre (+72k) traction with stable gross adds were all in line with the revised strategy announced last quarter and marked the best net adds performance for the year.

Wholesale subscriber net adds (+49k) were critical to on-net base stability against retail net losses (-49k), highlighting the short term value of wholesaling as a hedge against heightened (and expensive) retail competition although long term sustainability will rely on traction in retail.

FY17 guidance targets EBITDA of £320-360m, with an implied 17-20% margin (+3-6ppts on FY16), which is accessible from MTTS projections, lost costs from revised trading plans, and lower CPAs before counting revenue growth contributions. The operating cost impact from blinkbox, York fibre and other new cost structures appears benign for the moment.